I'm reading a lot of the blogging about the speech and everyone seems to think the target is al-Sadr (see the Larry Johnson piece noted below). I am, by nature, paranoid and conspiracy-spotting, and a thought struck me.
What if Maliki is in bed with Sadr (highly possible, if not probable, given the nature of Maliki's political connections). What if the push against Sadr, with Iraqi support, is a setup? What if we go in with Iraqi 'allies' to Sadr City, and the allies evaporate, or turn up, confused, at the wrong place at the wrong time? A lot of our boys could end up massacred.
Just my inner demons exercising themselves (exorcising them failed years ago). Noah Schachtman (h/t to Kevin Drum) thinks exactly the opposite, so.... take it all with a grain of salt till something happens.
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